Clinical Nephrology, Volume 106 (2026) - July (47 - 57)

Impact of different A1c targets on cardiovascular outcomes in diabetic kidney transplant recipients: A global cohort analysis

Sindhura Bobba1, Gaurav Gupta2, Dhiren Kumar2, Amber B. Paulus2, Akshay Athreya2, Rushi Patel2, Nilang G. Patel1
1 Richmond VA Medical Center, and 2 Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USA

   

 

DOI 10.5414/CN111994

Abstract

Background: Optimal glycemic targets for diabetic kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) remain uncertain, particularly regarding cardiovascular outcomes.
Materials and methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the TriNetX Global Collaborative Network, including adult KTRs with type 2 diabetes transplanted from 2010 – 2021. Patients with simultaneous kidney-pancreas or pancreas-alone transplants were excluded. HbA1c measured 1 – 2 years post transplant was categorized as ≤ 7.5% or > 7.5%. Propensity score matching (1 : 1) balanced demographics, comorbidities, laboratory values, immunosuppression, and medications. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE: myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, cardiac arrest, or death); secondary outcomes included individual components of MACE and graft failure.
Results: The final matched cohort included 5,850 patients (2,925 per group). Over median follow-up of 4.2 years, MACE occurred in 33.4% of patients with HbA1c ≤ 7.5 vs. 39.1% with > 7.5% (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.88, 95% CI 0.78 – 0.98). Mortality was lower in the ≤ 7.5% group (19.6 vs. 23.7%; aHR 0.85, 95% CI 0.76 – 0.95). No significant differences were observed in graft failure, myocardial infarction, heart failure, or stroke. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated lowest MACE and mortality risk at HbA1c 7.0 – 8.0%, with attenuation at ≤ 7.0% and loss of significance at ≤ 6.5%. Cardiovascular benefit was most pronounced in patients < 65 years and those with favorable lipid profiles.
Conclusion: In this global retrospective observational study, moderate glycemic control (HbA1c ~ 7 – 8% measured 1 – 2 years post transplant) was associated with lower cardiovascular events and mortality in type 2 diabetic KTRs. These findings support individualized targets aimed at avoiding both poor control and overly intensive lowering.

Author Details

Authors

Departments

  • 1 Richmond VA Medical Center, and
  • 2 Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USA

Address

Gaurav Gupta, MD
Virginia Commonwealth University
1200 E Marshall St, PO Box 980160
Richmond, VA, USA
Email: [email protected]

Citation

Sindhura Bobba, Gaurav Gupta, Dhiren Kumar, Amber B Paulus, Akshay Athreya, Rushi Patel, Nilang G Patel.Impact of different A1c targets on cardiovascular outcomes in diabetic kidney transplant recipients: A global cohort analysis
. Clin Nephrol. 2026; 106: 47-57. doi: 10.5414/CN111994. Pubmed: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/42021713/; PMID: 42021713.

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